Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.