Lincoln

3 - 2

Port Vale

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.