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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
Vale Park
Plymouth Argyle

Port Vale
1 - 3
Plymouth

Plant (3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Randell (34'), Edwards (38'), Azaz (61')
Azaz (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Port Vale and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 3-2 Port Vale
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 0-2 Plymouth Argyle

Port Vale have been devoid of confidence and any momentum in recent months, while their visitors have shone throughout the entire season and have their sights set on the title and the 100-point mark, and we see the Pilgrims scoring a relatively comfortable victory as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawPlymouth Argyle
32.47% (0.058 0.06) 26.26% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 41.27% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Both teams to score 52.65% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.12% (-0.052 -0.05)51.88% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.37% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)73.63% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (0.010999999999996 0.01)29.97% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.93% (0.013999999999996 0.01)66.08% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)24.82% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)59.41% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 32.47%
    Plymouth Argyle 41.27%
    Draw 26.26%
Port ValeDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.53% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.4% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.02% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.17% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 32.47%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.44% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 41.27%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Plymouth

Port Vale
15.8%
Draw
5.3%
Plymouth Argyle
78.9%
19
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Plymouth
0-2
Port Vale
Conlon (65'), Wilson (71')
Stevens (56')
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
gameweek 8
Port Vale
1-0
Plymouth
Smith (76')
Gibbons (6')

Mayor (43'), Canavan (47')
Jan 14, 2014 7.45pm
Third Round
Plymouth
2-3
Port Vale
Gurrieri (2'), Hourihane (36')
Hugill (30'), Williamson (63'), Myrie-Williams (75')
Dickinson (13'), Lines (74'), Neal (90'), Loft (90')
Lines (80')
Jan 5, 2014 3pm
Third Round
Port Vale
2-2
Plymouth
Tomlin (15'), Pope (36')
Tomlin (19'), Robertson (65')
Reid (51'), Purrington (74')
Gurrieri (13')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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