Port Vale1 - 3Plymouth
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
We said: Port Vale 0-2 Plymouth Argyle
Port Vale have been devoid of confidence and any momentum in recent months, while their visitors have shone throughout the entire season and have their sights set on the title and the 100-point mark, and we see the Pilgrims scoring a relatively comfortable victory as a result. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
32.47% ( 0.06) | 26.26% ( 0.02) | 41.27% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.65% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.12% ( -0.05) | 51.88% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.37% ( -0.04) | 73.63% ( 0.05) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.04% ( 0.01) | 29.97% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.93% ( 0.01) | 66.08% ( -0.01) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% ( -0.06) | 24.82% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.59% ( -0.08) | 59.41% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 32.47% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 41.27% |
How you voted: Port Vale vs Plymouth
Dickinson (13'), Lines (74'), Neal (90'), Loft (90')
Lines (80')
