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League One
Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
Vale Park
Plymouth Argyle

Port Vale
1 - 3
Plymouth

Plant (3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Randell (34'), Edwards (38'), Azaz (61')
Azaz (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Port Vale and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Charlton 3-2 Port Vale
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 0-2 Plymouth Argyle

 Port Vale have been devoid of confidence and any momentum in recent months, while their visitors have shone throughout the entire season and have their sights set on the title and the 100-point mark, and we see the Pilgrims scoring a relatively comfortable victory as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawPlymouth Argyle
32.47% (0.058 0.06) 26.26% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 41.27% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Both teams to score 52.65% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.12% (-0.052 -0.05)51.88% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.37% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)73.63% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (0.010999999999996 0.01)29.97% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.93% (0.013999999999996 0.01)66.08% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)24.82% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)59.41% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 32.47%
    Plymouth Argyle 41.27%
    Draw 26.26%
Port ValeDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.53% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.4% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.02% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.17% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 32.47%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.44% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 41.27%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Plymouth

Port Vale
15.8%
Draw
5.3%
Plymouth Argyle
78.9%
19
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Plymouth
0-2
Port Vale
Conlon (65'), Wilson (71')
Stevens (56')
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
gameweek 46
Plymouth
P-P
Port Vale
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
gameweek 8
Port Vale
1-0
Plymouth
Smith (76')
Gibbons (6')

Mayor (43'), Canavan (47')
Jan 14, 2014 7.45pm
Third Round
Plymouth
2-3
Port Vale
Gurrieri (2'), Hourihane (36')
Hugill (30'), Williamson (63'), Myrie-Williams (75')
Dickinson (13'), Lines (74'), Neal (90'), Loft (90')
Lines (80')
> Match Report
Jan 5, 2014 3pm
Third Round
Port Vale
2-2
Plymouth
Tomlin (15'), Pope (36')
Tomlin (19'), Robertson (65')
Reid (51'), Purrington (74')
Gurrieri (13')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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