League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Valley
Charlton3 - 2Port Vale
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Charlton 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
65
Last Game: Port Vale 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
We said: Charlton Athletic 2-0 Port Vale
Port Vale would have taken confidence from Saturday's win against Bristol Rovers, but picking up a win at The Valley may prove to be a difficult challenge. The Valiants have not won an away game since New Year's Day, and we think that Charlton will take advantage of Port Vale's away day struggles to claim all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Port Vale |
45.86% ( -0.35) | 23.49% ( 0.06) | 30.65% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 61.3% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
