League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Barnsley7 - 0Port Vale
We said: Barnsley 2-1 Port Vale
We are yet to see how Barnsley will fare after last season's Wembley disappointment and the loss of their manager and several key players over the summer, but they should still have enough to get past Port Vale on home turf in their curtain-raiser at the weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 48.45%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 25.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Port Vale |
48.45% ( -1.01) | 26.49% ( -0.03) | 25.05% ( 1.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.52% ( 1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.62% ( 0.88) | 56.38% ( -0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.6% ( 0.71) | 77.4% ( -0.7) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.69% ( -0.08) | 23.31% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.74% ( -0.12) | 57.26% ( 0.12) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.96% ( 1.45) | 38.04% ( -1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.2% ( 1.37) | 74.8% ( -1.37) |
| Score Analysis |
Barnsley 48.45%
Port Vale 25.05%
Draw 26.49%
| Barnsley | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 12.91% ( -0.47) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.37)2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 48.45% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.61% Total : 25.05% |
How you voted: Barnsley vs Port Vale
Barnsley
65.0%Draw
15.0%Port Vale
20.0%20
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Nov 23, 2022 7.30pm
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Nov 14, 2015 3pm
Form Guide
