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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
52.84% ( 0.03) | 24.08% ( 0.01) | 23.08% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 52.6% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.32% ( -0.08) | 48.67% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.21% ( -0.07) | 70.78% ( 0.07) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.62% ( -0.02) | 18.37% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.5% ( -0.03) | 49.5% ( 0.03) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.44% ( -0.08) | 35.56% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.67% ( -0.09) | 72.32% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
1-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 52.83% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.08% | 0-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 23.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |