League One | Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
Portsmouth3 - 2Oxford Utd
We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Oxford United
Aside from the runaway leaders Rotherham United, these two clubs are the form sides in the divisions, and it should make for an entertaining spectacle. All things considered, Pompey need three points, but we feel that Oxford will do enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Oxford United |
| 39.99% | 25.84% | 34.18% |
| Both teams to score 54.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.29% | 49.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.28% | 71.72% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% | 24.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.02% | 58.98% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% | 27.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.61% | 63.39% |
| Score Analysis |
Portsmouth 39.99%
Oxford United 34.18%
Draw 25.83%
| Portsmouth | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 9.58% 2-1 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 6.74% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.99% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.72% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.58% 1-3 @ 3.35% 0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.18% |
How you voted: Portsmouth vs Oxford Utd
Portsmouth
30.8%Draw
26.9%Oxford United
42.3%52
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Jul 6, 2020 5pm
Oxford Utd
1-1
Portsmouth
Oxford Utd win 5-4 on penalties
Jul 3, 2020 5.30pm
Form Guide
