League One | Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
Portsmouth3 - 2Oxford Utd
We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Oxford United
Aside from the runaway leaders Rotherham United, these two clubs are the form sides in the divisions, and it should make for an entertaining spectacle. All things considered, Pompey need three points, but we feel that Oxford will do enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Oxford United |
| 39.99% | 25.84% | 34.18% |
| Both teams to score 54.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
