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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Barnsley

Burton Albion
1 - 2
Barnsley

Cooper Love (88')
Vancooten (68'), Akoto (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Connell (36'), Humphrys (90')
Earl (3'), Durand de Gevigney (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Man Utd 7-0 Barnsley
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in EFL Cup

We said: Burton Albion 0-1 Barnsley

While recent results suggest that Barnsley might have taken a hit to their confidence after what was a solid enough start to the season, Robinson will be hoping for a response from his players as they look to keep up with the leading pack in League One. Burton have a proclivity for drawing games at present, but with a few key players still absent for the Brewers, we expect the away side to narrowly take all three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
45.59% (-0.105 -0.1) 24.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 29.43% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 55.41% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35% (0.086999999999996 0.09)47.65% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (0.081 0.08)69.84% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (-0.012 -0.01)20.94% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)53.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.09% (0.123 0.12)29.91% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.99% (0.15 0.15)66.01% (-0.149 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 45.59%
    Barnsley 29.43%
    Draw 24.97%
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.66% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 45.59%
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 29.43%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Barnsley

Burton Albion
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
Barnsley
66.7%
15
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 42
Burton Albion
1-3
Barnsley
Powell (37')
McAtee (54', 64'), Connell (69')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Barnsley
2-0
Burton Albion
Cole (21', 68')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Barnsley
2-0
Burton Albion
Cole (36', 73')
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 41
Burton Albion
3-1
Barnsley
Allen (5'), Boyce (81'), Harness (89')
Boyce (8')
Woodrow (85' pen.)
Bahre (74'), Woodrow (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield17102526151132
5Stockport CountyStockport1886429191030
6Reading179352924530
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley187652623327
9Lincoln CityLincoln187562423126
10Mansfield TownMansfield167362120124
11Exeter CityExeter177371617-124
12Blackpool186572631-523
13Charlton AthleticCharlton176471819-122
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough176383230221
16Bristol Rovers186391726-921
17Wigan AthleticWigan175571514120
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
19Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
20Leyton Orient175391720-318
21Northampton TownNorthampton184681925-618
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1734101428-1413
23Burton Albion1725101629-1311
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1732121731-1411


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