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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Barnsley |
45.59% (![]() | 24.98% (![]() | 29.43% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.41% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.35% (![]() | 47.65% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.15% (![]() | 69.84% (![]() |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.06% (![]() | 20.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.32% (![]() | 53.67% (![]() |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.09% (![]() | 29.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.99% (![]() | 66.01% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Barnsley |
1-0 @ 9.79% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.24% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.66% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.82% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.99% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 45.59% | 1-1 @ 11.81% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.58% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.56% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.13% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.56% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.84% ( ![]() Other @ 3.23% Total : 29.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 56 | 22 | 34 | 79 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 68 |
3 | Wrexham | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 68 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 62 |
5 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 57 | 51 | 6 | 60 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 58 |
8 | Reading | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 55 |
9 | Leyton Orient | 36 | 16 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 53 |
10 | Barnsley | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 51 | -1 | 52 |
11 | Blackpool | 35 | 11 | 15 | 9 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 48 |
12 | Stevenage | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 48 |
13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 46 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 44 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 43 |
16 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 41 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 41 |
18 | Exeter CityExeter | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 40 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 39 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 |
21 | Burton Albion | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 33 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 30 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 29 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 36 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 28 |
> League One Full Table |