Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Barnsley |
45.59% ( -0.1) | 24.98% ( -0.01) | 29.43% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 55.41% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.35% ( 0.09) | 47.65% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.15% ( 0.08) | 69.84% ( -0.08) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.06% ( -0.01) | 20.94% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.32% ( -0.02) | 53.67% ( 0.02) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.09% ( 0.12) | 29.91% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.99% ( 0.15) | 66.01% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Barnsley |
1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 45.59% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.56% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 29.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 39 |
2 | Wrexham | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 37 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 36 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 30 |
6 | Reading | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Barnsley | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Blackpool | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 23 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 22 |
14 | Stevenage | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 21 |
16 | Bristol Rovers | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 21 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 20 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 20 |
19 | Crawley TownCrawley | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
21 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 13 |
23 | Burton Albion | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |