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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Barnsley

Burton Albion
1 - 2
Barnsley

Cooper Love (88')
Vancooten (68'), Akoto (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Connell (36'), Humphrys (90')
Earl (3'), Durand de Gevigney (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Man Utd 7-0 Barnsley
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in EFL Cup

We said: Burton Albion 0-1 Barnsley

While recent results suggest that Barnsley might have taken a hit to their confidence after what was a solid enough start to the season, Robinson will be hoping for a response from his players as they look to keep up with the leading pack in League One. Burton have a proclivity for drawing games at present, but with a few key players still absent for the Brewers, we expect the away side to narrowly take all three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
45.59% (-0.105 -0.1) 24.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 29.43% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 55.41% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35% (0.086999999999996 0.09)47.65% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (0.081 0.08)69.84% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (-0.012 -0.01)20.94% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)53.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.09% (0.123 0.12)29.91% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.99% (0.15 0.15)66.01% (-0.149 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 45.59%
    Barnsley 29.43%
    Draw 24.97%
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.66% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 45.59%
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 29.43%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Barnsley

Burton Albion
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
Barnsley
66.7%
15
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 42
Burton Albion
1-3
Barnsley
Powell (37')
McAtee (54', 64'), Connell (69')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Barnsley
2-0
Burton Albion
Cole (21', 68')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Barnsley
2-0
Burton Albion
Cole (36', 73')
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 41
Burton Albion
3-1
Barnsley
Allen (5'), Boyce (81'), Harness (89')
Boyce (8')
Woodrow (85' pen.)
Bahre (74'), Woodrow (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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