MX23RW : Saturday, December 7 08:01:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Reading logo

Stevenage
1 - 1
Reading

Kemp (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Knibbs (82')
Elliott (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Reading
Tuesday, November 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Reading

Stevenage come into Saturday on the back of consecutive home losses following a three-match winning streak on their turf, while Reading have struggled with away results. Given the history of just four away wins in League One since Selles took over in July 2023 (including last season's 1-0 triumph in the corresponding fixture), we back the hosts to secure a marginal success at the Royals' expense. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Reading had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawReading
46.7% (3.277 3.28) 24.34% (0.378 0.38) 28.95% (-3.657 -3.66)
Both teams to score 57.22% (-3.298 -3.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.86% (-3.472 -3.47)45.13% (3.474 3.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.52% (-3.42 -3.42)67.48% (3.421 3.42)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)19.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)51.28% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (-4.08 -4.08)28.96% (4.08 4.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14% (-5.357 -5.36)64.85% (5.358 5.36)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 46.7%
    Reading 28.95%
    Draw 24.34%
StevenageDrawReading
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.332 0.33)
1-0 @ 9.22% (1.301 1.3)
2-0 @ 7.55% (1.063 1.06)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.178 0.18)
3-0 @ 4.12% (0.579 0.58)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.264 -0.26)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.072 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.236 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 46.7%
1-1 @ 11.42% (0.41 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.479 -0.48)
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.797 0.8)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.283 -0.28)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.34%
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.582 -0.58)
0-1 @ 6.98% (0.254 0.25)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.353 -0.35)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.629 -0.63)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.515 -0.52)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.382 -0.38)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.329 -0.33)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 28.95%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Reading

Stevenage
33.3%
Draw
22.2%
Reading
44.4%
9
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Stevenage
0-1
Reading
Oliver (45' og.)
Savage (24'), Mola (39'), Knibbs (89'), Ehibhaimha (90+4')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Reading
2-0
Stevenage
Ehibhaimha (45+4', 57')

Thompson (5'), Reid (9'), MacDonald (26'), Neal (69')
Thompson (22')
Aug 9, 2022 8pm
First Round
Reading
1-2
Stevenage
Ehibhaimha (63')
Abretti (42'), Ehibhaimha (90+1')
Earley (10'), Rose (89')
Earley (38'), Campbell (58')
Jan 16, 2018 8pm
Third Round Replays
Reading
3-0
Stevenage
Dadi Bodvarsson (32', 44', 64')

Newton (40')
Jan 6, 2018 3pm
Third Round
Stevenage
0-0
Reading
Newton (37'), Pett (93')
Richards (56'), Bacuna (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe17123238201839
2Wrexham18114327111637
3Birmingham CityBirmingham16113230151536
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield17102526151132
5Stockport CountyStockport1886429191030
6Reading179352924530
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley187652623327
9Lincoln CityLincoln187562423126
10Mansfield TownMansfield167362120124
11Exeter CityExeter177371617-124
12Blackpool186572631-523
13Charlton AthleticCharlton176471819-122
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough176383230221
16Bristol Rovers186391726-921
17Wigan AthleticWigan175571514120
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
19Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
20Leyton Orient175391720-318
21Northampton TownNorthampton184681925-618
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1734101428-1413
23Burton Albion1725101629-1311
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1732121731-1411


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