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League One
Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Reading logo

Stevenage
1 - 1
Reading

Kemp (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Knibbs (82')
Elliott (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Guiseley (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

Reading

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Reading
Tuesday, November 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Reading

 Stevenage come into Saturday on the back of consecutive home losses following a three-match winning streak on their turf, while Reading have struggled with away results. Given the history of just four away wins in League One since Selles took over in July 2023 (including last season's 1-0 triumph in the corresponding fixture), we back the hosts to secure a marginal success at the Royals' expense. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Reading had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawReading
46.7% (3.277 3.28) 24.34% (0.378 0.38) 28.95% (-3.657 -3.66)
Both teams to score 57.22% (-3.298 -3.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.86% (-3.472 -3.47)45.13% (3.474 3.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.52% (-3.42 -3.42)67.48% (3.421 3.42)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)19.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)51.28% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (-4.08 -4.08)28.96% (4.08 4.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14% (-5.357 -5.36)64.85% (5.358 5.36)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 46.7%
    Reading 28.95%
    Draw 24.34%
StevenageDrawReading
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.332 0.33)
1-0 @ 9.22% (1.301 1.3)
2-0 @ 7.55% (1.063 1.06)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.178 0.18)
3-0 @ 4.12% (0.579 0.58)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.264 -0.26)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.072 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.236 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 46.7%
1-1 @ 11.42% (0.41 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.479 -0.48)
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.797 0.8)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.283 -0.28)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.34%
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.582 -0.58)
0-1 @ 6.98% (0.254 0.25)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.353 -0.35)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.629 -0.63)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.515 -0.52)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.382 -0.38)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.329 -0.33)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 28.95%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Reading

Stevenage
33.3%
Draw
22.2%
Reading
44.4%
9
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Stevenage
0-1
Reading
Oliver (45' og.)
Savage (24'), Mola (39'), Knibbs (89'), Ehibhaimha (90+4')
> Preview
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Reading
2-0
Stevenage
Ehibhaimha (45+4', 57')

Thompson (5'), Reid (9'), MacDonald (26'), Neal (69')
Thompson (22')
Aug 9, 2022 8pm
First Round
Reading
1-2
Stevenage
Ehibhaimha (63')
Abretti (42'), Ehibhaimha (90+1')
Earley (10'), Rose (89')
Earley (38'), Campbell (58')
> Preview
Jan 16, 2018 8pm
Third Round Replays
Reading
3-0
Stevenage
Dadi Bodvarsson (32', 44', 64')

Newton (40')
Jan 6, 2018 3pm
Third Round
Stevenage
0-0
Reading
Newton (37'), Pett (93')
Richards (56'), Bacuna (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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