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League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Crawley Town

Reading
4 - 1
Crawley

Mbengue (20'), Wing (40'), Savage (65'), Smith (73')
Mbengue (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Forster (30')
Anderson (36'), Camara (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Reading
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 3-5 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League One

We said: Reading 2-0 Crawley Town

Reading have won four of their five home league matches this season, and we think that they will produce another strong home performance to condemn Crawley to a seventh consecutive defeat in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawCrawley Town
45.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 23.61%30.9% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 60.99% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)40.7% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.91%63.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.82% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)49.17%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)25.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71%60.28% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Reading 45.48%
    Crawley Town 30.9%
    Draw 23.61%
ReadingDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.89%
2-0 @ 6.72% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.23%
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 3.58%
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 45.48%
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 6.3%
0-0 @ 4.63%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 7.39%
0-1 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 4.33%
1-3 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.98%
1-4 @ 1.15%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 30.9%

How you voted: Reading vs Crawley

Reading
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Crawley Town
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2015 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Crawley
1-0
Reading
Henderson (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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