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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Crawley Town |
45.48% ( -0) | 23.61% | 30.9% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 60.99% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.29% ( -0) | 40.7% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.91% | 63.08% ( -0) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.81% ( -0) | 18.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.82% ( -0) | 49.17% |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.54% ( -0) | 25.45% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.71% | 60.28% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Crawley Town |
2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.89% 2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.23% 3-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.65% Total : 45.48% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 7.39% 0-1 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 4.33% 1-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |