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League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Crawley Town

Reading
4 - 1
Crawley

Mbengue (20'), Wing (40'), Savage (65'), Smith (73')
Mbengue (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Forster (30')
Anderson (36'), Camara (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Reading
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 3-5 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League One

We said: Reading 2-0 Crawley Town

Reading have won four of their five home league matches this season, and we think that they will produce another strong home performance to condemn Crawley to a seventh consecutive defeat in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawCrawley Town
45.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 23.61%30.9% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 60.99% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)40.7% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.91%63.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.82% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)49.17%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)25.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71%60.28% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Reading 45.48%
    Crawley Town 30.9%
    Draw 23.61%
ReadingDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.89%
2-0 @ 6.72% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.23%
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 3.58%
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 45.48%
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 6.3%
0-0 @ 4.63%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 7.39%
0-1 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 4.33%
1-3 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.98%
1-4 @ 1.15%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 30.9%

How you voted: Reading vs Crawley

Reading
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Crawley Town
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2015 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Crawley
1-0
Reading
Henderson (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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