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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
43.59% ( -3.46) | 24.56% ( -0.02) | 31.85% ( 3.49) |
Both teams to score 58.1% ( 2.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.3% ( 1.85) | 44.7% ( -1.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.94% ( 1.76) | 67.06% ( -1.76) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.39% ( -0.74) | 20.61% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.85% ( -1.19) | 53.15% ( 1.19) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.18% ( 3.29) | 26.82% ( -3.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.88% ( 4.13) | 62.12% ( -4.13) |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.94) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.92) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.28) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.58) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.27) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 43.59% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.45) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.6) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.48) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.53) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.37) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.38) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.26) Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |