Exeter
2 - 3
Portsmouth

Jay (6'), Collins (76')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hirst (5'), Curtis (89', 90+3')
Morrell (35'), Raggett (64'), Curtis (90+4')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's EFL Trophy clash between Exeter City and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Portsmouth

While Exeter impressed against Forest Green in midweek, you have to anticipate that several alterations will be made. With that in mind, we are backing Pompey to edge this contest by the odd goal in three, potentially during the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 35.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Portsmouth
39.48%	25.18%	35.34%

Both teams to score 56.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.37%

46.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.1%

68.89%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.6%

23.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.61%

57.38%

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.35%

25.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.46%

60.54%

Score Analysis

Exeter City 39.48%

Portsmouth 35.34%

Draw 25.18%

Exeter City	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 8.72% 2-1 @ 8.61% 2-0 @ 6.33% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-0 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.09% Total : 39.48%	1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6% 2-2 @ 5.86% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.18%	0-1 @ 8.17% 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-2 @ 5.56% 1-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.34%