League One

League One | Gameweek 28

Feb 6, 2021 at 3pm UK

The Energy Check County Ground

Swindon
0 - 1
Shrewsbury

Curran (56'), Hope (73'), Pitman (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Chapman (34')

Coverage of the League One clash between Swindon Town and Shrewsbury Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
40.36%	27.29%	32.35%

Both teams to score 49.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44%

56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.91%

77.09%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.8%

27.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.38%

62.62%

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.87%

32.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.39%

68.61%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 40.35%

Shrewsbury Town 32.35%

Draw 27.28%

Swindon Town	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.99% Total : 40.35%	1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.28%	0-1 @ 9.92% 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-2 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.35%