Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.