Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 54.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.