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League One | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The DW Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Wigan
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Magennis (30'), Smith (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McCormick (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 2-1 Bristol Rovers

Heading into the final day with plenty of confidence in the camp following back-to-back wins, we back Wigan Athletic to prevail in a third straight victory to end a pleasing League One campaign under Shaun Maloney. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawBristol Rovers
44.81% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04) 25.97% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 29.22% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 52.11% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.09% (0.104 0.1)51.9% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.35% (0.09 0.09)73.65% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91% (0.024000000000001 0.02)23.09% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.07% (0.034999999999997 0.03)56.93% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75% (0.099000000000004 0.1)32.25% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.26% (0.113 0.11)68.74% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 44.8%
    Bristol Rovers 29.22%
    Draw 25.97%
Wigan AthleticDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 10.91% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 44.8%
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 29.22%

How you voted: Wigan vs Bristol Rovers

Wigan Athletic
50.0%
Draw
10.0%
Bristol Rovers
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Bristol Rovers
4-1
Wigan
Thomas (13'), Hunt (25'), Collins (53'), Marquis (68')
Thomas (28'), Marquis (36'), Hoole (90+1')
Wyke (20')
Rekik (45+5'), Wyke (81')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Wigan
McCormick (69')
Lang (50'), Wootton (90+5')
Wootton (25'), Robinson (59'), Massey (88')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 14
Wigan
0-0
Bristol Rovers
Tilt (61'), Merrie (72'), Perry (88')
Hare (76')
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
Sep 16, 2017 3pm
Wigan
3-0
Bristol Rovers
Powell (30'), Grigg (49'), Massey (90')
Morsy (67'), Jacobs (72')

Sweeney (30')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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