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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Bolton logo

Bristol Rovers
0 - 2
Bolton


Evans (32'), Thomas (56'), Martin (62'), Connolly (76'), Baxter (90+8'), Taylor (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Collins (52'), Morley (90+8' pen.)
Iredale (55'), Conteh (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Shrewsbury
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Bolton 5-2 Reading
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

 Bolton may have struggled in their recent away matches, but they tend to fare well at the Memorial Stadium, and we think that the promotion-hopefuls will do enough to edge their hosts and claim three precious points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawBolton Wanderers
32.06% (-0.129 -0.13) 26.01% (-0.041 -0.04) 41.93% (0.172 0.17)
Both teams to score 53.32% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.05% (0.134 0.13)50.95% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.18% (0.119 0.12)72.82% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.23% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)29.77% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.16% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)65.84% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (0.148 0.15)24.07% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.64% (0.207 0.21)58.36% (-0.203 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 32.06%
    Bolton Wanderers 41.93%
    Draw 26%
Bristol RoversDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.68% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 32.06%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 10.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.27% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.18% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.45% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.9% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 41.93%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Bolton

Bristol Rovers
19.0%
Draw
9.5%
Bolton Wanderers
71.4%
21
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bolton
1-2
Bristol Rovers
Toal (84')
Forrester (45+3'), Baxter (45+5'), Dempsey (81'), Williams (88')
Santos (33')
Marquis (10'), Evans (41')
Finley (17'), Thomas (29'), Taylor (87'), Taylor (87')
May 7, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 46
Bristol Rovers
2-3
Bolton
Hoole (28'), Marquis (84')
Shoretire (24'), N'Lundulu (70'), Morley (77')
> Preview
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Charles (90+4')
Coburn (2')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 30
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Murphy (82')
Darcy (24')
Clarke-Harris (63')
Upson (31'), Leahy (84')
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Bolton

Nichols (51'), Ogogo (53')
Murphy (15'), Murphy (68')
Murphy (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham36258359243583
2Wrexham38228852302274
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe372011664362871
4Charlton AthleticCharlton381991049351466
5Stockport CountyStockport381811953351865
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield371871252341861
7Bolton WanderersBolton37186135955460
8Reading371611105246659
9Leyton Orient371751553381556
10Blackpool381315105750754
11Barnsley38158155254-253
12Lincoln CityLincoln381311145345850
13Stevenage371310143538-349
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham37129164245-345
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough37129165660-445
16Exeter CityExeter37129164051-1145
17Mansfield TownMansfield37128174351-844
18Wigan AthleticWigan361110153336-343
19Northampton TownNorthampton381012163756-1942
20Bristol Rovers38126203961-2242
21Burton Albion37812173853-1536
22Crawley TownCrawley3889214071-3133
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3879223662-2630
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3777233462-2828
> League One Full Table


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