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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Peterborough United

Bristol Rovers
0 - 2
Peterborough


Thomas (45+2'), Hoole (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Randall (41'), Jade-Jones (90+5')
Knight (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 4-1 Fleetwood
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Peterborough United

 This fixture has been dominated by Peterborough in recent seasons, winning 10 and losing just one of the previous 17 encounters between the two sides. With Bristol Rovers having little left to play for, sitting securely in mid-table, and the visitors battling for promotion, we believe Ferguson's side will come out victorious. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.18%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 22.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawPeterborough United
22.44% (-0.315 -0.32) 22.38% (-0.19 -0.19) 55.18% (0.508 0.51)
Both teams to score 57.37% (0.224 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.04% (0.495 0.5)41.96% (-0.491 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.63% (0.495 0.5)64.37% (-0.492 -0.49)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)32.42% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.06% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)68.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.88% (0.342 0.34)15.11% (-0.339 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.32% (0.642 0.64)43.67% (-0.64 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 22.44%
    Peterborough United 55.18%
    Draw 22.37%
Bristol RoversDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 5.87% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.52% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-0 @ 3.11% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.21% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.17% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 22.44%
1-1 @ 10.42% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.37%
1-2 @ 9.85% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 8.75% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.21% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
0-3 @ 5.51% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.5% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.93% (0.072 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.6% (0.065 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.65% (0.041 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.11% (0.04 0.04)
0-5 @ 0.98% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 55.18%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Peterborough

Bristol Rovers
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Peterborough United
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Peterborough
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Collins (26'), Ajiboye (47')
Collins (15'), Jade-Jones (32'), Knight (54'), Kyprianou (62'), Ajiboye (77')

Evans (56'), Taylor (74')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Peterborough
0-0
Bristol Rovers
> Preview
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Peterborough
Sinclair (53')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Third Round
Peterborough
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Szmodics (20'), Mumba (63')
Norburn (79')
Coutts (30' pen.)
> Preview
Jan 26, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 26
Peterborough
0-0
Bristol Rovers
Thompson (52'), Beevers (82')
Kilgour (83'), Ogogo (84'), Leahy (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham36258359243583
2Wrexham38228852302274
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe372011664362871
4Charlton AthleticCharlton381991049351466
5Stockport CountyStockport381811953351865
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield371871252341861
7Bolton WanderersBolton37186135955460
8Reading371611105246659
9Leyton Orient371751553381556
10Blackpool381315105750754
11Barnsley38158155254-253
12Lincoln CityLincoln381311145345850
13Stevenage371310143538-349
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham37129164245-345
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough37129165660-445
16Exeter CityExeter37129164051-1145
17Mansfield TownMansfield37128174351-844
18Wigan AthleticWigan361110153336-343
19Northampton TownNorthampton381012163756-1942
20Bristol Rovers38126203961-2242
21Burton Albion37812173853-1536
22Crawley TownCrawley3889214071-3133
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3879223662-2630
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3777233462-2828
> League One Full Table


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