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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Peterborough United

Bristol Rovers
0 - 2
Peterborough


Thomas (45+2'), Hoole (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Randall (41'), Jade-Jones (90+5')
Knight (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 4-1 Fleetwood
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Peterborough United

 This fixture has been dominated by Peterborough in recent seasons, winning 10 and losing just one of the previous 17 encounters between the two sides. With Bristol Rovers having little left to play for, sitting securely in mid-table, and the visitors battling for promotion, we believe Ferguson's side will come out victorious. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.18%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 22.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawPeterborough United
22.44% (-0.315 -0.32) 22.38% (-0.19 -0.19) 55.18% (0.508 0.51)
Both teams to score 57.37% (0.224 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.04% (0.495 0.5)41.96% (-0.491 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.63% (0.495 0.5)64.37% (-0.492 -0.49)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)32.42% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.06% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)68.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.88% (0.342 0.34)15.11% (-0.339 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.32% (0.642 0.64)43.67% (-0.64 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 22.44%
    Peterborough United 55.18%
    Draw 22.37%
Bristol RoversDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 5.87% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.52% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-0 @ 3.11% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.21% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.17% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 22.44%
1-1 @ 10.42% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.37%
1-2 @ 9.85% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 8.75% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.21% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
0-3 @ 5.51% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.5% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.93% (0.072 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.6% (0.065 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.65% (0.041 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.11% (0.04 0.04)
0-5 @ 0.98% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 55.18%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Peterborough

Bristol Rovers
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Peterborough United
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Peterborough
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Collins (26'), Ajiboye (47')
Collins (15'), Jade-Jones (32'), Knight (54'), Kyprianou (62'), Ajiboye (77')

Evans (56'), Taylor (74')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Peterborough
0-0
Bristol Rovers
> Preview
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Peterborough
Sinclair (53')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Third Round
Peterborough
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Szmodics (20'), Mumba (63')
Norburn (79')
Coutts (30' pen.)
> Preview
Jan 26, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 26
Peterborough
0-0
Bristol Rovers
Thompson (52'), Beevers (82')
Kilgour (83'), Ogogo (84'), Leahy (87')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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