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League One | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
The DW Stadium
Burton Albion

Wigan
1 - 1
Burton Albion

Hughes (43' og.)
Smith (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brayford (54')
Gilligan (75'), Hamer (90+4'), Powell (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Blackpool
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 2-0 Burton Albion

Wigan have won each of their last three home games, and we think that they will extend that winning run against a Burton side that will be low on confidence following four consecutive defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 46.75%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 25.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawBurton Albion
46.75% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 27.33% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 25.92% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 45.94% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.22% (0.049999999999997 0.05)58.77% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.7% (0.038 0.04)79.29% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83% (0.044999999999987 0.04)25.17% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.11% (0.064 0.06)59.89% (-0.07 -0.07)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.39% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)38.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.65% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)75.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 46.75%
    Burton Albion 25.92%
    Draw 27.32%
Wigan AthleticDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 13.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.25% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 46.75%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 25.92%

How you voted: Wigan vs Burton Albion

Wigan Athletic
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Burton Albion
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Burton Albion
2-1
Wigan
Powell (68', 84' pen.)
Lubala (22'), Gordon (26'), Bennett (90+3')
Lubala (89')
Hughes (44')
Adeeko (21'), Clare (57'), Humphrys (88')
Apr 12, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Burton Albion
0-0
Wigan
Mancienne (35'), Niasse (59'), Kokolo (79')
Watts (17'), Power (79'), Kerr (82')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Wigan
2-0
Burton Albion
McClean (9'), Tilt (51')
Darikwa (36'), Bayliss (39')

Hamer (57')
Smith (15')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Wigan
1-1
Burton Albion
Keane (37')
Powell (16')
Powell (12')
Dec 29, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 21
Burton Albion
3-4
Wigan
O'Toole (13'), Brayford (25'), Hemmings (72')
Joseph (19', 28', 73'), Keane (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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