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Championship header 2

League Two
Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Barrow

Stevenage
5 - 0
Barrow

Reeves (18'), Reid (50'), Sweeney (75'), Norris (78' pen.), Warren (86' og.)
Gilbey (63'), Wildin (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ray (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: King's Lynn 0-3 Stevenage
Saturday, November 26 at 12.45pm in FA Cup

Barrow

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bolton 3-2 Barrow
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Barrow

 With two of the league's form sides and two of its strongest squads squaring off, we anticipate a high-quality encounter on Friday and just tip the balance in favour of the hosts. Barrow certainly have the tools to hurt their opponents, but with home advantage we see Evans's side having just enough to come out with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawBarrow
49.07% (0.086000000000006 0.09) 26.35% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 24.58% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 47.49% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.8% (0.040999999999997 0.04)56.19% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.75% (0.033000000000001 0.03)77.24% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.04% (0.057000000000002 0.06)22.95% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.26% (0.085999999999999 0.09)56.73% (-0.095000000000006 -0.1)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.64% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)38.36% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.88% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)75.11% (0.02600000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 49.06%
    Barrow 24.58%
    Draw 26.34%
StevenageDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 12.95%
2-0 @ 9.54% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 49.06%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.8% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 24.58%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Barrow

Stevenage
69.2%
Draw
15.4%
Barrow
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 4.30pm
Barrow
0-0
Stevenage

Amadi-Holloway (55')

Prosser (65')
Prosser (90+7')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Stevenage
1-0
Barrow
Reeves (46')
Lines (45+1'), Cuthbert (52'), Vancooten (55'), Taylor (90')

Taylor (21'), Banks (22'), Platt (45+2'), Kay (51'), Ntlhe (68'), Devitt (79')
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Stevenage
2-1
Barrow
List (53'), Norris (87' pen.)
Andrew (78')
Banks (68'), Kay (87'), Barry (87')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Barrow
1-1
Stevenage
Angus (12' pen.)
Beadling (44')
Effiong (85' pen.)
Newton (11')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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