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Championship header 2

League Two
Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Barrow

Stevenage
5 - 0
Barrow

Reeves (18'), Reid (50'), Sweeney (75'), Norris (78' pen.), Warren (86' og.)
Gilbey (63'), Wildin (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ray (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: King's Lynn 0-3 Stevenage
Saturday, November 26 at 12.45pm in FA Cup

Barrow

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bolton 3-2 Barrow
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Barrow

 With two of the league's form sides and two of its strongest squads squaring off, we anticipate a high-quality encounter on Friday and just tip the balance in favour of the hosts. Barrow certainly have the tools to hurt their opponents, but with home advantage we see Evans's side having just enough to come out with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawBarrow
49.07% (0.086000000000006 0.09) 26.35% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 24.58% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 47.49% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.8% (0.040999999999997 0.04)56.19% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.75% (0.033000000000001 0.03)77.24% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.04% (0.057000000000002 0.06)22.95% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.26% (0.085999999999999 0.09)56.73% (-0.095000000000006 -0.1)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.64% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)38.36% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.88% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)75.11% (0.02600000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 49.06%
    Barrow 24.58%
    Draw 26.34%
StevenageDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 12.95%
2-0 @ 9.54% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 49.06%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.8% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 24.58%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Barrow

Stevenage
69.2%
Draw
15.4%
Barrow
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 4.30pm
Barrow
0-0
Stevenage

Amadi-Holloway (55')

Prosser (65')
Prosser (90+7')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Stevenage
1-0
Barrow
Reeves (46')
Lines (45+1'), Cuthbert (52'), Vancooten (55'), Taylor (90')

Taylor (21'), Banks (22'), Platt (45+2'), Kay (51'), Ntlhe (68'), Devitt (79')
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Stevenage
2-1
Barrow
List (53'), Norris (87' pen.)
Andrew (78')
Banks (68'), Kay (87'), Barry (87')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Barrow
1-1
Stevenage
Angus (12' pen.)
Beadling (44')
Effiong (85' pen.)
Newton (11')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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