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Carlisle United
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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
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Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 26
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The County Ground
Stevenage

Swindon
0 - 1
Stevenage

FT(HT: 0-1)
Reid (25')
Clark (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-5 Swindon
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Stevenage

Stevenage are real contenders for the League Two title, but travelling to Swindon will prove to be a tough test, considering that they have not won in their last four league away games. If any team takes the three points, it is likely to be the visitors, but we expect the spoils to be shared in a very closely-contested game, given that the hosts will be full of confidence after an emphatic win in their last match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawStevenage
33.16% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 28.53% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 38.31% (-0.13 -0.13)
Both teams to score 45.98% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.63% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)60.37% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.48% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)80.52% (0.071000000000012 0.07)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)33.83% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.5% (0.016999999999999 0.02)70.5% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.5% (-0.12700000000001 -0.13)30.5% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.28% (-0.151 -0.15)66.72% (0.148 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 33.16%
    Stevenage 38.3%
    Draw 28.53%
Swindon TownDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 11.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.2% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.06% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.6% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 33.16%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.32% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 12.25%
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.28% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 38.3%

How you voted: Swindon vs Stevenage

Swindon Town
57.1%
Draw
7.1%
Stevenage
35.7%
14
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
gameweek 14
Stevenage
2-0
Swindon
Roberts (11', 60')
Piergianni (45+3')
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Swindon
0-0
Stevenage

Reed (40'), Iandolo (79')

Reeves (75')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
gameweek 6
Stevenage
1-1
Swindon
Coker (54')
Payne (90+5' pen.)
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 15
Swindon
1-0
Stevenage
Doyle (90')
Grant (12'), Fryers (61'), Doyle (92')

Parrett (79'), Denton (90'), Farman (94')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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