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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Stevenage |
24.31% ( 0.31) | 25.07% ( 0.13) | 50.62% ( -0.44) |
Both teams to score 50.94% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.46% ( -0.23) | 51.54% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.66% ( -0.2) | 73.34% ( 0.2) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.97% ( 0.16) | 36.03% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.19% ( 0.16) | 72.81% ( -0.16) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.63% ( -0.27) | 20.37% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.23% ( -0.43) | 52.77% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.89% Total : 24.31% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.03% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 4.93% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 50.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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