Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.