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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 52.97%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Bradford City |
52.97% ( 0.06) | 22.77% ( -0.02) | 24.25% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 58.32% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.25% ( 0.04) | 41.75% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.84% ( 0.04) | 64.15% ( -0.04) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.21% ( 0.03) | 15.78% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.07% ( 0.07) | 44.92% ( -0.07) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.25% ( -0.02) | 30.74% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.99% ( -0.02) | 67.01% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Bradford City |
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 3.58% Total : 52.97% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.76% | 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 24.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |