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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 56.8%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
56.8% ( 0.05) | 23.05% ( -0.03) | 20.15% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.81% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.27% ( 0.11) | 47.72% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.08% ( 0.1) | 69.92% ( -0.1) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.42% ( 0.06) | 16.58% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.63% ( 0.11) | 46.37% ( -0.11) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.11% ( 0.04) | 37.89% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.34% ( 0.04) | 74.66% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 56.8% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.04% | 0-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 20.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 19 |
2 | Notts County | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 18 |
3 | Walsall | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 18 |
4 | BarrowBarrow | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 15 |
7 | Port Vale | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 15 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
9 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
10 | Chesterfield | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
11 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
12 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
14 | MK Dons | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 10 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Bromley | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
20 | Salford City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 9 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 3 |
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