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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bradford City win with a probability of 68.61%. A draw has a probability of 19.4% and a win for Newport County has a probability of 12.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.56%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Newport County win it is 0-1 (4.43%).
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | Newport County |
68.61% ( 1.1) | 19.36% ( -0.47) | 12.03% ( -0.62) |
Both teams to score 45.32% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.13% ( 0.54) | 46.87% ( -0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.88% ( 0.5) | 69.12% ( -0.5) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.41% ( 0.48) | 12.59% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.33% ( 0.98) | 38.67% ( -0.98) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.84% ( -0.71) | 48.15% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.66% ( -0.52) | 83.34% ( 0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | Newport County |
2-0 @ 13.01% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 12.56% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 68.6% | 1-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.64% Total : 19.36% | 0-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.63% Total : 12.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
2 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 19 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 19 |
5 | Notts County | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
6 | Port Vale | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 18 |
7 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 15 |
11 | Chesterfield | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
13 | MK Dons | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 12 |
14 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
15 | Salford City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 12 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 11 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 11 |
19 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 7 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 6 |
24 | Morecambe | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 |
> League Two Full Table |