MX23RW : Saturday, October 12 22:06:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
County Ground
Newport County

Swindon
4 - 0
Newport

Tshimanga (4'), Glatzel (18'), Baker (21' og.), Cotterill (45')
Kilkenny (56')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-4 Port Vale
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
41.88% (0.205 0.2) 25.55% (-0.012 -0.01) 32.56% (-0.192 -0.19)
Both teams to score 54.99% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)48.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)70.96% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (0.099999999999994 0.1)23.18% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.93% (0.147 0.15)57.07% (-0.146 -0.15)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.59% (-0.125 -0.13)28.41% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.84% (-0.155 -0.16)64.16% (0.157 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 41.88%
    Newport County 32.56%
    Draw 25.55%
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 9.63% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 41.88%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 8.29% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.22% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.56%

Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 12.45pm
Gameweek 31
Newport
2-1
Swindon
Evans (53'), Palmer-Houlden (74')
McLoughlin (3'), Bennett (39')
Glatzel (46')
Kokolo (51'), Devoy (72'), Bycroft (75'), Khan (77')
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Swindon
2-0
Newport
Kemp (8'), Hepburn-Murphy (82')
Brewitt (36')
Feb 4, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 30
Newport
2-1
Swindon
Norman (54'), Kavanagh (78')
Adeloye (90+1')
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
Swindon
0-1
Newport
Conroy (90' og.)
Lewis (28'), Azaz (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale116321612421
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster116231613320
3Notts County115421911819
4Walsall106131912719
5Gillingham11614137619
6BarrowBarrow11614138519
7Bradford CityBradford115331611518
8Grimsby Town116051518-318
9Crewe AlexandraCrewe105231110117
10AFC Wimbledon8512135816
11Fleetwood TownFleetwood9441169716
12Chesterfield113621912715
13Newport CountyNewport115061621-515
14Harrogate TownHarrogate114251016-614
15MK Dons113351313012
16Salford City10334711-412
17Colchester UnitedColchester102531315-211
18Swindon TownSwindon112541215-311
19Tranmere RoversTranmere10253511-611
20Bromley102441214-210
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham113171419-510
22Accrington StanleyAccrington102351320-79
23Morecambe11146914-57
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle112181023-137


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