MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 10:51:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
County Ground
Newport County

Swindon
4 - 0
Newport

Tshimanga (4'), Glatzel (18'), Baker (21' og.), Cotterill (45')
Kilkenny (56')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-4 Port Vale
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
41.88% (0.205 0.2) 25.55% (-0.012 -0.01) 32.56% (-0.192 -0.19)
Both teams to score 54.99% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)48.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)70.96% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (0.099999999999994 0.1)23.18% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.93% (0.147 0.15)57.07% (-0.146 -0.15)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.59% (-0.125 -0.13)28.41% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.84% (-0.155 -0.16)64.16% (0.157 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 41.88%
    Newport County 32.56%
    Draw 25.55%
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 9.63% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 41.88%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 8.29% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.22% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.56%

Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 12.45pm
Gameweek 31
Newport
2-1
Swindon
Evans (53'), Palmer-Houlden (74')
McLoughlin (3'), Bennett (39')
Glatzel (46')
Kokolo (51'), Devoy (72'), Bycroft (75'), Khan (77')
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Swindon
2-0
Newport
Kemp (8'), Hepburn-Murphy (82')
Brewitt (36')
Feb 4, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 30
Newport
2-1
Swindon
Norman (54'), Kavanagh (78')
Adeloye (90+1')
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
Swindon
0-1
Newport
Conroy (90' og.)
Lewis (28'), Azaz (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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