Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.