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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Carlisle United

Swindon
0 - 2
Carlisle

FT(HT: 0-1)
Lavelle (42'), Armstrong (72')
Jones (47'), Harper (49'), Wyke (79')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 4-0 Newport
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Fleetwood
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCarlisle United
46.41% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 24.74% (-0.012 -0.01) 28.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.83% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.06% (0.028999999999996 0.03)46.94% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.81% (0.027000000000001 0.03)69.19% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.71% (0.024999999999991 0.02)20.29% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.34% (0.041000000000004 0.04)52.66% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)29.96% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.93% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)66.06% (0.0029999999999859 0)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 46.41%
    Carlisle United 28.85%
    Draw 24.73%
Swindon TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 46.41%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.33% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 28.85%

Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Swindon
1-2
Carlisle
Shade (80')
Armer (51'), Edmondson (90+6')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Carlisle
1-1
Swindon
Dennis (45')
Moxon (63')
Wakeling (22')
Reed (18'), MacDonald (90+4')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Carlisle
0-3
Swindon

Simeu (36')
McKirdy (17'), Davison (55'), Barry (57')
Davison (36'), Cooper (87')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Swindon
1-2
Carlisle
Crichlow (30')
Kesler (28'), Reed (90+3')
Kesler (90+7')
Riley (13'), Abrahams (43')
Dickenson (29'), Norman (63')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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