League Two | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle2 - 3Grimsby Town
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Grimsby Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Swindon 0-2 Carlisle
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Bromley
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Grimsby Town |
36.96% ( 0.14) | 26.1% ( -0.03) | 36.93% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.89% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
