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Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 3
Aug 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Grimsby Town

Notts County
4 - 1
Grimsby Town

Jatta (6'), Crowley (15', 57'), Jones (45+1')
Bedeau (29'), Jatta (65')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Rodgers (45+4')
Green (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Notts County and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 2-2 Fleetwood
Sunday, August 18 at 1pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 3-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-1 Grimsby Town

 Everything points to this contest being decided by the odd goal in what should be a competitive fixture. While both teams have momentum, we are backing the home side to come through with maximum points, potentially finishing strong like they did against Fleetwood. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawGrimsby Town
38.67% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 23.89% (0.0039999999999978 0) 37.44% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 61.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)40.32% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.3% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)62.7% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)21.02% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.19% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)53.81% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36%21.63% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.25% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)54.75% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 38.67%
    Grimsby Town 37.44%
    Draw 23.88%
Notts CountyDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 7.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 38.67%
1-1 @ 10.85%
2-2 @ 6.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 8.31% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 6.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.72% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.44%

How you voted: Notts County vs Grimsby Town

Notts County
59.2%
Draw
14.1%
Grimsby Town
26.8%
71
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Grimsby Town
5-5
Notts County
Rose (7' pen.), Eisa (15', 62'), Clifton (52'), Wood (90+5')
Clifton (87')
McGoldrick (39', 90+2'), Langstaff (45'), Nemane (60', 79')
Baldwin (23'), Robertson (45+4'), Jones (84')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Notts County
3-2
Grimsby Town
Bostock (40'), Jones (50'), Crowley (61')
Palmer (8'), Nemane (45+4'), Stone (89'), Adebayo-Rowling (90+4')
Rose (17'), Clifton (45+7')
Glennon (24'), Rose (25'), Clifton (34'), Conteh (64')
> Preview
May 23, 2022 7.45pm
Notts County
1-2
Grimsby Town
Rodrigues (73')
O'Brien (38'), Brunt (100')
Holohan (90+6'), Dieseruvwe (119')
Clifton (43'), Taylor (70'), Waterfall (85')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Notts County
1-2
Grimsby Town
Roberts (15')
Rodrigues (30'), Brunt (32'), Taylor (79'), Cameron (84'), Lacey (90')
Taylor (76'), Waterfall (90')
Clifton (52')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Grimsby Town
0-1
Notts County

Hunt (86')
Rodrigues (90')
Rodrigues (45'), Roberts (54'), Nemane (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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