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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.36%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leyton Orient in this match.
Result | ||
Leyton Orient | Draw | Carlisle United |
47.36% ( 0.02) | 27.3% ( 0) | 25.34% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 45.55% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.96% ( -0.02) | 59.04% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.5% ( -0.02) | 79.5% ( 0.02) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75% ( 0) | 24.99% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.35% ( 0) | 59.65% ( -0) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.73% ( -0.03) | 39.26% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.02% ( -0.03) | 75.97% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Leyton Orient | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 13.6% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.82% 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.23% Total : 47.35% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.3% | 0-1 @ 9.18% 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 25.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |