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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Cheltenham Town
League Two | Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Salford City

Cheltenham
2 - 1
Salford City

Backwell (31'), Thomas (80')
Day (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tilt (90+5')
Shephard (48'), Stockton (90')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and Salford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 2-0 Cheltenham
Friday, January 17 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawSalford City
39.8% (0.19 0.19) 25.28% (0.026 0.03) 34.92% (-0.214 -0.21)
Both teams to score 56.56% (-0.124 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.88% (-0.145 -0.14)47.11% (0.145 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.65% (-0.135 -0.14)69.35% (0.137 0.14)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (0.033000000000001 0.03)23.45% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.53% (0.048000000000002 0.05)57.46% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.89% (-0.194 -0.19)26.11% (0.196 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.82% (-0.262 -0.26)61.18% (0.263 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 39.8%
    Salford City 34.92%
    Draw 25.27%
Cheltenham TownDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 8.88% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.44% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.11% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 39.8%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.12% (0.037 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 8.22% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-2 @ 8.01% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 34.92%

Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
Second Round
Salford City
2-0
Cheltenham
Okoronkko (20'), Stockton (22' pen.)
Taylor (24'), Lund (52'), Austerfield (56'), N'Mai (74')

Stubbs (86'), Jude-Boyd (90+10')
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Salford City
2-1
Cheltenham
Adelakun (60', 86')
Chesters (90+2'), (90+2')
Archer (48')
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Cheltenham
3-1
Salford City
Broom (44'), Sercombe (65'), Goodwin (66')
Hendry (13')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 37
Cheltenham
2-0
Salford City
Long (3'), Sercombe (41')
Sercombe (16'), Thomas (64')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2912983629745
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2981293940-136
17Newport CountyNewport2896133747-1033
18Gillingham2795132529-432
19BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2965182746-1923
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421


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