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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Northampton Town in this match.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Northampton Town |
30.13% ( 0.01) | 27.85% ( -0) | 42.03% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.01% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.35% ( 0.01) | 58.65% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.8% ( 0.01) | 79.2% ( -0.01) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.88% ( 0.01) | 35.12% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.13% ( 0.01) | 71.87% ( -0.01) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.46% ( 0) | 27.54% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.95% ( 0) | 63.05% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 6.83% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.3% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 30.13% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.67% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.84% | 0-1 @ 12.47% 1-2 @ 8.42% 0-2 @ 8.04% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 42.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |