League Two

League Two | Gameweek 3

Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
4 - 2
Newport

Demetriou (8', 57'), Long (66' pen.), Nevitt (71')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Evans (21'), Charsley (75')
Bondswell (83'), Waite (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Swindon 2-2 Crewe
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Newport 4-0 Doncaster
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Newport County
31.91% ( -0.03)	26.21% ( 0.06)	41.89% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 52.63% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.18% (

-0.26)

51.82% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.42% (

-0.23)

73.58% (

0.23)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.69% (

-0.15)

30.31% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.51% (

-0.18)

66.49% (

0.18)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.51% (

-0.13)

24.48% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.06% (

-0.19)

58.93% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 31.91%

Newport County 41.88%

Draw 26.2%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.17% Total : 31.91%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.2%	0-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 41.88%