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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
44.11% ( -0.01) | 24.57% ( 0) | 31.32% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.81% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.03% ( -0.01) | 44.96% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.68% ( -0.01) | 67.32% ( 0.01) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.51% ( -0) | 20.49% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.03% ( -0.01) | 52.97% ( 0.01) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.71% ( -0) | 27.29% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.27% | 62.73% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
2-1 @ 9.13% 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.03% 3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 44.11% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 31.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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