League Two | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Swindon6 - 0Crawley
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crawley Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Swindon 2-2 Arsenal U21s (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, August 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, August 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Gillingham
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
44.11% ( -0.01) | 24.57% ( 0) | 31.32% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.81% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.03% ( -0.01) | 44.96% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.68% ( -0.01) | 67.32% ( 0.01) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.51% ( -0) | 20.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.03% ( -0.01) | 52.97% ( 0.01) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.71% ( -0) | 27.29% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.27% | 62.73% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Swindon Town 44.11%
Crawley Town 31.32%
Draw 24.57%
| Swindon Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.03% 3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 44.11% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 31.32% |
Head to Head
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Crawley
3-1
Swindon
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 40
Swindon
P-P
Crawley
Form Guide
