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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Crawley Town

Swindon
6 - 0
Crawley

Kemp (34'), Young (47', 51', 60', 71'), Shade (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Williams (88')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrawley Town
44.11% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 24.57% (0.0010000000000012 0) 31.32% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.81% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)44.96% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)67.32% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)20.49% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)52.97% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)27.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27%62.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 44.11%
    Crawley Town 31.32%
    Draw 24.57%
Swindon TownDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.13%
1-0 @ 8.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.03%
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 44.11%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 7.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 31.32%

Head to Head
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Swindon
2-1
Crawley
Austin (41'), Cain (43')
Telford (62' pen.)
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 20
Crawley
2-0
Swindon
Tsaroulla (79'), Powell (83')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Crawley
3-1
Swindon
Appiah (29'), Nichols (72'), Hutchinson (90+1')
Francillette (59'), Marshall (84')
Davison (50')
Williams (56'), Odimayo (65')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Swindon
1-1
Crawley
Gladwin (90+2')
Lyden (81'), McKirdy (83')
Powell (41' pen.)
Nichols (54'), Tsaroulla (65'), Powell (77')
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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