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Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Crawley Town

Newport
2 - 2
Crawley

Dolan (83'), Zanzala (90+2')
Lewis (30')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Telford (36', 67' pen.)
Telford (72'), Davis (85'), Francillette (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Newport County and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-0 Leyton Orient
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 3-1 Crawley
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-0 Crawley Town

 It is difficult to ignore Crawley's recent struggles when picking a result in this contest. Newport are without a victory in their last three, but they were impressive against Orient last time out, and we believe that home advantage will allow Coughlan's side to secure an important three points in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 20.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawCrawley Town
56.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 23.59% (-0.044 -0.04) 20.32% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.38% (0.165 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.25% (0.201 0.2)49.75% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.24% (0.18 0.18)71.76% (-0.182 -0.18)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.44% (0.079000000000008 0.08)17.56% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.89% (0.138 0.14)48.11% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.12% (0.14100000000001 0.14)38.88% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.39% (0.133 0.13)75.61% (-0.134 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 56.08%
    Crawley Town 20.32%
    Draw 23.59%
Newport CountyDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 11.87% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 10.33% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.66% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.61% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.46% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 56.08%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.59%
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.3% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 20.32%

How you voted: Newport vs Crawley

Newport County
73.3%
Draw
26.7%
Crawley Town
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Crawley
2-1
Newport
Tilley (40'), Nadesan (57')
Moriah-Welsh (79')
Bennett (47')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Newport
1-2
Crawley
Waite (59')
Waite (19')
Nadesan (15'), Francillette (21')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Appiah (55')
Appiah (56'), Nadesan (77')
Telford (84')
Norman (11'), Clarke (74'), Upson (75'), Fisher (88'), Lewis (90+5')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Newport
2-0
Crawley
Shephard (52'), Lewis (90+10')
Hartigan (58'), Sheehan (67')

Davies (17'), Tunnicliffe (83')
Nichols (89')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Demetriou (32' og.)
Hessenthaler (16'), Hesketh (68')
Allarakhia (59')
Haynes (5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall21144339192046
2Port Vale2210752721637
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2210663126536
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe219842518735
5AFC Wimbledon21104732181434
6Chesterfield2297636251134
7Notts County219753021934
8Grimsby Town22111103034-434
9Salford City219662519633
10Bradford CityBradford218762623331
11MK Dons209383328530
12Bromley217953025530
13Gillingham219392220230
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham228683131030
15Colchester UnitedColchester2151152522326
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood206862625126
17BarrowBarrow217592021-126
18Newport CountyNewport217592936-726
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2263131834-1621
21Swindon TownSwindon2248102736-920
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Morecambe2245132038-1817
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2136121533-1815
> League Two Full Table


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