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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | MK Dons |
35.89% (![]() | 26.39% (![]() | 37.72% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.9% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.14% (![]() | 51.86% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.38% (![]() | 73.62% (![]() |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.2% (![]() | 27.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.61% (![]() | 63.39% (![]() |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.26% (![]() | 26.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.99% (![]() | 62.01% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 9.52% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.03% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.09% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.87% Total : 35.89% | 1-1 @ 12.55% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.43% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 9.81% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.28% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.47% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 34 | 25 | 63 |
2 | AFC Wimbledon | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 55 |
3 | Bradford CityBradford | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 54 |
4 | Notts County | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 53 |
5 | Port Vale | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 52 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 52 |
7 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 49 |
8 | Salford City | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 48 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 31 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 48 |
10 | Chesterfield | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 42 |
11 | Bromley | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
12 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 30 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 41 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 41 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 40 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 40 |
16 | MK Dons | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 39 |
17 | Swindon TownSwindon | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 38 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 37 |
19 | Gillingham | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 34 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 33 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 30 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 28 |
23 | Morecambe | 31 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 22 |
> League Two Full Table |