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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
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MK Dons
Morecambe
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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Broadfield Stadium
MK Dons

Crawley
2 - 1
MK Dons

Tsaroulla (15'), Orsi (52')
Williams (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Eisa (27')
Robson (65'), Hunter (90+9')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawMK Dons
35.89% (0.356 0.36) 26.39% (0.004999999999999 0) 37.72% (-0.363 -0.36)
Both teams to score 52.9% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.14% (0.0040000000000049 0)51.86% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.38% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.62% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (0.217 0.22)27.8% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (0.276 0.28)63.39% (-0.277 -0.28)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.26% (-0.20099999999999 -0.2)26.74% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.99% (-0.267 -0.27)62.01% (0.267 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 35.89%
    MK Dons 37.72%
    Draw 26.39%
Crawley TownDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.09% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.6% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 35.89%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 9.81% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 37.72%

How you voted: Crawley vs MK Dons

Crawley Town
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
MK Dons
80.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 35
MK Dons
1-0
Crawley
Agard (41')
McGrandles (12'), Walsh (80')
Nov 3, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 17
Crawley
0-4
MK Dons

Vincelot (64')
Healey (7', 45'), Agard (18'), Aneke (63')
Jan 10, 2015 3pm
Crawley
2-2
MK Dons
McLeod (14' pen., 48')
Tomlin (90')
Grigg (76'), Alli (90')
Alli (87'), Grigg (90'), Baker (90')
Aug 30, 2014 3pm
MK Dons
2-0
Crawley
Alli (15'), Afobe (92')
Powell (64'), Carruthers (89')
McFadzean (69')

Henderson (25'), Tomlin (39'), Harrold (89')
Apr 12, 2014 3.07pm
MK Dons
0-2
Crawley

Rasulo (85')
Drury (7'), Jones (45')
Sadler (39'), Jones (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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