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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Newport County |
34.6% (![]() | 25.95% (![]() | 39.44% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.19% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.86% (![]() | 50.14% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.89% (![]() | 72.1% (![]() |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.25% (![]() | 27.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.68% (![]() | 63.32% (![]() |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75% (![]() | 25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.35% (![]() | 59.65% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Newport County |
1-0 @ 8.89% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.9% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.7% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.38% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.6% | 1-1 @ 12.32% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.94% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.48% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 9.62% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.55% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.67% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.95% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.61% Total : 39.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |