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Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Newport County

Accrington
3 - 0
Newport

Nolan (24'), Whalley (80'), Adedoyin (90+4')
Shipley (37'), Leigh (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Blackburn
Saturday, July 8 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bristol City 8-0 Newport
Saturday, July 22 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Accrington Stanley 2-1 Newport County

Both teams have undergone plenty of change in terms of playing personnel during the summer transfer window so far, but the fact that they have retained their managers should help settle things down. Accrington will be hoping to bounce back to the third tier at the first attempt this season, and we can envisage them having a little too much quality for their opponents in a potentially entertaining encounter on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawNewport County
34.6% (0.144 0.14) 25.95% (-0.373 -0.37) 39.44% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Both teams to score 54.19% (1.267 1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.86% (1.611 1.61)50.14% (-1.609 -1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.89% (1.417 1.42)72.1% (-1.416 -1.42)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (0.86799999999999 0.87)27.75% (-0.868 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68% (1.1 1.1)63.32% (-1.099 -1.1)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.861 0.86)25% (-0.86 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35% (1.18 1.18)59.65% (-1.18 -1.18)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 34.6%
    Newport County 39.44%
    Draw 25.95%
Accrington StanleyDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 8.89% (-0.366 -0.37)
2-1 @ 7.9% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.7% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.44% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.131 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 34.6%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.463 -0.46)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.18 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.384 -0.38)
1-2 @ 8.55% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.67% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.95% (0.132 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.143 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.078 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.44%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
Newport
2-1
Accrington
Amond (30'), Nouble (85')
White (66'), Demetriou (88')
Kee (90')
Brown (61')
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Newport
1-0
Accrington
Randall (60')
Rigg (29'), O'Brien (38'), Owen-Evans (96')

Brown (83'), McCartan (91')
Oct 29, 2016 3pm
Accrington
1-3
Newport
Donacien (79')
Gornell (44'), McCartan (85')
Healey (47'), Barnum-Bobb (62'), Sheehan (94')
Rigg (56'), Myrie-Williams (65'), Sheehan (91')
Mar 28, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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