Newport

3 - 1

Sutton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.