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Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Crewe Alexandra

Swindon
0 - 1
Crewe


Brennan (40'), Iandolo (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Agyei (23' pen.)
King (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 2-1 Crewe Alexandra

We can envisage an entertaining affair in Wiltshire on Saturday, with the hosts likely to come out on top. Swindon's home form has been impressive in recent weeks, with Crewe's tough slog against hapless Colchester last weekend hardly inspiring confidence that they can avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 69.49%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 11.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
69.49% (0.206 0.21) 18.99% (-0.041 -0.04) 11.52% (-0.161 -0.16)
Both teams to score 44.86% (-0.373 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.42% (-0.218 -0.22)46.58% (0.222 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.15% (-0.205 -0.21)68.85% (0.20899999999999 0.21)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.75% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)12.25% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.03% (-0.012 -0.01)37.98% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.13% (-0.421 -0.42)48.87% (0.424 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.14% (-0.304 -0.3)83.86% (0.30799999999999 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 69.48%
    Crewe Alexandra 11.52%
    Draw 18.99%
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-0 @ 13.19% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 12.57% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 9.24% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.61% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.85% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.04% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 69.48%
1-1 @ 9% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.38% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 18.99%
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.22% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.54% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 11.52%

How you voted: Swindon vs Crewe

Swindon Town
78.3%
Draw
8.7%
Crewe Alexandra
13.0%
23
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Crewe
0-3
Swindon

Robertson (79')
Reed (25'), Simpson (52'), Payne (79')
Williams (38'), Reed (75')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Swindon
2-1
Crewe
Johnson (10' og.), Twine (90+4')
Thompson (84')
Lowery (5')
Lowery (70')
Dec 1, 2020 7pm
Crewe
4-2
Swindon
Powell (39'), Ng (54'), Lowery (63'), Dale (66')
Grant (20'), Smith (38')
Broadbent (68')
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Swindon
3-1
Crewe
Hunt (32'), Yates (69'), Rose (72')
Caddis (80'), Woolery (95')
Anene (61')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Crewe
3-1
Swindon
Porter (59', 90'), Kirk (94')
Doyle (37')
Woolery (76'), Rose (78'), Lyden (80'), Doyle (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
18Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
19Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
21Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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