League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Swindon0 - 1Crewe
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Swindon 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Swindon Town 2-1 Crewe Alexandra
We can envisage an entertaining affair in Wiltshire on Saturday, with the hosts likely to come out on top. Swindon's home form has been impressive in recent weeks, with Crewe's tough slog against hapless Colchester last weekend hardly inspiring confidence that they can avoid defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 69.49%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 11.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
69.49% ( 0.21) | 18.99% ( -0.04) | 11.52% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 44.86% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.42% ( -0.22) | 46.58% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.15% ( -0.21) | 68.85% ( 0.21) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.75% ( -0) | 12.25% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.03% ( -0.01) | 37.98% ( 0.02) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.13% ( -0.42) | 48.87% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.14% ( -0.3) | 83.86% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
Swindon Town 69.48%
Crewe Alexandra 11.52%
Draw 18.99%
| Swindon Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 2-0 @ 13.19% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 12.57% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.01% Total : 69.48% | 1-1 @ 9% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.62% Total : 18.99% | 0-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 11.52% |
How you voted: Swindon vs Crewe
Swindon Town
78.3%Draw
8.7%Crewe Alexandra
13.0%23
Head to Head
Form Guide
