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Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Sutton United

Crewe
1 - 0
Sutton

Nevitt (71')
Austerfield (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sowunmi (42'), Beautyman (48'), Kizzi (77'), Duke-McKenna (90+1')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Sutton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 2-0 Crewe
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawSutton United
49.83% (-0.196 -0.2) 23.56% (0.049999999999997 0.05) 26.61% (0.146 0.15)
Both teams to score 58.03% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.76% (-0.11 -0.11)43.24% (0.11 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.36% (-0.111 -0.11)65.64% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.53% (-0.117 -0.12)17.47% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.05% (-0.203 -0.2)47.95% (0.203 0.2)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.31% (0.054000000000002 0.05)29.69% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.25% (0.064 0.06)65.75% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 49.83%
    Sutton United 26.61%
    Draw 23.55%
Crewe AlexandraDrawSutton United
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.58% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.43% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 49.83%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.19% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.55%
1-2 @ 6.67% (0.027 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.3% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.82% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 26.61%

How you voted: Crewe vs Sutton

Crewe Alexandra
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Sutton United
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Sutton
1-1
Crewe
John (28')
Coley (82'), Pereira (88')
Baker-Richardson (17')
Cooney (45'), Bell (46')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sutton
1-1
Crewe
Rowe (90+3')
Agyei (33')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Crewe
1-0
Sutton
Baker-Richardson (12')
Uwakwe (87'), (90')

Eastmond (38'), Beautyman (58')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83


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