League Two

League Two | Gameweek 13

Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK

Poolfoot Farm

Wrexham
3 - 2
Salford City

Lee (39'), Fletcher (88'), Davies (89')
Jones (45+2'), O'Connell (75'), Mullin (80')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Smith (15', 36')
Ingram (45+1'), Tilt (45+2'), Shephard (60'), Bolton (81')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salford City

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Salford City 1-3 Stockport
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Salford City

There is still an awful lot of football to be played this season, but this feels like a very big football match for a number of reasons. Salford will be looking to flex their muscles, but Wrexham are in a good place at the moment, and we are expecting the home side to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	Salford City
56.79% ( 0)	21.07% ( -0.01)	22.13% ( 0)

Both teams to score 61.6% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.8% (

0.05)

36.19% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.69% (

0.05)

58.31% (

-0.05)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.32% (

0.02)

12.68% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.13% (

0.03)

38.86% (

-0.03)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.55% (

0.03)

29.45% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.54% (

0.04)

65.45% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Wrexham 56.79%

Salford City 22.13%

Draw 21.07%

Wrexham	Draw	Salford City
2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.1% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.46% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.83% 4-2 @ 2.12% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 4.1% Total : 56.79%	1-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.07%	1-2 @ 5.76% 0-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.1% Total : 22.13%