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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Salford City

Wrexham
3 - 2
Salford City

Lee (39'), Fletcher (88'), Davies (89')
Jones (45+2'), O'Connell (75'), Mullin (80')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Smith (15', 36')
Ingram (45+1'), Tilt (45+2'), Shephard (60'), Bolton (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 1-3 Stockport
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Salford City

There is still an awful lot of football to be played this season, but this feels like a very big football match for a number of reasons. Salford will be looking to flex their muscles, but Wrexham are in a good place at the moment, and we are expecting the home side to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawSalford City
56.79% (0.0040000000000049 0) 21.07% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 22.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 61.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.8% (0.045999999999999 0.05)36.19% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.69% (0.050999999999995 0.05)58.31% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.32% (0.016999999999996 0.02)12.68% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.13% (0.033000000000001 0.03)38.86% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.55% (0.031000000000006 0.03)29.45% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (0.039000000000001 0.04)65.45% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 56.79%
    Salford City 22.13%
    Draw 21.07%
WrexhamDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 4.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.46% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.83%
4-2 @ 2.12% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 56.79%
1-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.73% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.07%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-1 @ 4.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 22.13%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Salford City

Wrexham
52.9%
Draw
35.3%
Salford City
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Salford City
2-0
Wrexham
Green (23'), Gaffney (60')

Pearson (51'), Young (70')
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 31
Wrexham
5-1
Salford City
Pearson (3'), Wright (24'), Walker (45'), Tollitt (86'), Holroyd (90')
Whitehead (90')
Pond (45'), Piergianni (47'), Mafuta (64'), Walker (73'), Touray (75')
Walker (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4Notts County361710955371861
5AFC Wimbledon361791047252260
6Port Vale35151374437758
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town36175145153-256
9Colchester UnitedColchester36131674233955
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City361311124341250
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham361310134851-349
14Chesterfield351391356431348
15Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport36127174561-1643
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington36109174454-1039
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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