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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Salford City |
56.79% (![]() | 21.07% (![]() | 22.13% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.6% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.8% (![]() | 36.19% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.69% (![]() | 58.31% (![]() |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.32% (![]() | 12.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.13% (![]() | 38.86% (![]() |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.55% (![]() | 29.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.54% (![]() | 65.45% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Salford City |
2-1 @ 9.74% (![]() 2-0 @ 7.96% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.71% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.7% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.48% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.1% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.83% 4-2 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 4.1% Total : 56.79% | 1-1 @ 9.43% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.95% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.73% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.67% ( ![]() Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.07% | 1-2 @ 5.76% 0-1 @ 4.57% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.1% Total : 22.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 65 | 41 | 24 | 68 |
2 | Bradford CityBradford | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 66 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 62 |
4 | Notts County | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 61 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 25 | 22 | 60 |
6 | Port Vale | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 58 |
7 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 56 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 36 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 51 | 53 | -2 | 56 |
9 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 36 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Bromley | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 51 |
11 | Salford City | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 50 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 49 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 49 |
14 | Chesterfield | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 43 | 13 | 48 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 46 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 43 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 |
18 | MK Dons | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 42 |
19 | Gillingham | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 41 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 40 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 39 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 33 |
23 | Morecambe | 36 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 31 | 54 | -23 | 29 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 27 |
> League Two Full Table |