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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Stockport County |
30.66% ( -0.04) | 24.92% ( 0.01) | 44.42% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 56.32% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.22% ( -0.05) | 46.79% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.96% ( -0.05) | 69.05% ( 0.05) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.38% ( -0.05) | 28.62% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.57% ( -0.07) | 64.43% ( 0.07) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.9% ( -0) | 21.1% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.07% ( -0) | 53.93% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Stockport County |
1-0 @ 7.56% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.73% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 30.66% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.74% 0-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 44.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 34 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 33 |
14 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 31 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 29 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
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