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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Mansfield Town |
40.88% ( -0.56) | 24.82% ( -0.1) | 34.3% ( 0.66) |
Both teams to score 58.05% ( 0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.87% ( 0.62) | 45.13% ( -0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.52% ( 0.59) | 67.48% ( -0.59) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.95% ( -0) | 22.05% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.62% ( -0) | 55.39% ( 0.01) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.46% ( 0.69) | 25.54% ( -0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.61% ( 0.93) | 60.4% ( -0.93) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Mansfield Town |
2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 40.88% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.82% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |