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Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Notts County
3 - 0
Doncaster

Crowley (33'), Langstaff (44'), Nemane (53')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Close (75'), Bailey (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Notts County and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-1 Notts County
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-3 Bradford
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-1 Doncaster Rovers

 Notts County and Doncaster Rovers have had a contrasting first half of the season, with Rovers scrambling for points at the bottom end of the table. While Williams's men have suffered a drop-off in form in recent weeks, they boast the firepower needed to turn things around against Tuesday's visitors and we are tipping them to come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawDoncaster Rovers
52.16% (0.554 0.55) 21.02% (-0.149 -0.15) 26.81% (-0.405 -0.41)
Both teams to score 67.51% (0.187 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.13% (0.396 0.4)30.87% (-0.396 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.77% (0.47 0.47)52.23% (-0.47 -0.47)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.74% (0.297 0.3)12.25% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.02% (0.624 0.62)37.98% (-0.624 -0.62)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)23.05% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.11% (-0.073 -0.07)56.88% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 52.16%
    Doncaster Rovers 26.81%
    Draw 21.02%
Notts CountyDrawDoncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.93% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.69% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.055 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.36% (0.076 0.08)
4-2 @ 2.46% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.29% (0.054 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.41% (0.048 0.05)
4-3 @ 1.2% (0.024 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.03% (0.034 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 52.16%
1-1 @ 8.7% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.83% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 2.29% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 21.02%
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-1 @ 4.15% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 26.81%

How you voted: Notts County vs Doncaster

Notts County
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
Doncaster Rovers
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Doncaster
1-3
Notts County
Sotona (90+5')
Langstaff (28', 46'), Jones (54')
McGoldrick (16'), Jones (18'), Bostock (21')
Nov 14, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Notts County
4-2
Doncaster
Dennis (15', 40', 63' pen.), Boldewijn (26')
Milsom (81')
May (50', 70')
Wilks (86')
Mar 14, 2017 7.45pm
Doncaster
3-1
Notts County
Coppinger (44'), Baudry (47'), Williams (95')
May (78')
Duffy (20')
Bola (71')
Dec 26, 2016 3pm
Notts County
0-1
Doncaster

Oliver (74')
Williams (60')
Williams (86'), Mandeville (88')
Apr 25, 2015 3pm
Notts County
2-1
Doncaster
Thompson (8'), Noble (60')
Hollis (46'), Burke (64'), Bajner (70')
Tyson (95' pen.)
Butler (67'), Jones (91')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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