Notts County3 - 0Doncaster
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
We said: Notts County 2-1 Doncaster Rovers
Notts County and Doncaster Rovers have had a contrasting first half of the season, with Rovers scrambling for points at the bottom end of the table. While Williams's men have suffered a drop-off in form in recent weeks, they boast the firepower needed to turn things around against Tuesday's visitors and we are tipping them to come out on top. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
52.16% ( 0.55) | 21.02% ( -0.15) | 26.81% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 67.51% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.13% ( 0.4) | 30.87% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.77% ( 0.47) | 52.23% ( -0.47) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.74% ( 0.3) | 12.25% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.02% ( 0.62) | 37.98% ( -0.62) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% ( -0.05) | 23.05% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.11% ( -0.07) | 56.88% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 52.16% | 1-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.02% | 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.01% Total : 26.81% |
