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Championship header 2

League Two
Stockport County
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Edgeley Park
Notts County

Stockport
2 - 1
Notts County

Wootton (7'), Madden (86' pen.)
Croasdale (36'), Byrne (55'), Pye (56'), Richardson (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McGoldrick (90+3')
Bostock (76'), Cameron (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Stockport County and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stockport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stockport 8-0 Sutton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 3-1 Notts County
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stockport County 2-1 Notts County

 We anticipate a hard-fought encounter at Edgeley Park between two of League Two's strongest sides, with one goal either way likely settling it. Given their recent results and with home advantage, we give a slight edge to the table-topping hosts to get over the line and head into Christmas with an enviable lead at the summit, but they certainly face one of their toughest tests yet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stockport County in this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawNotts County
53.37% (0.050000000000004 0.05) 22.65%23.98% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 58.43% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.55% (-0.052 -0.05)41.45% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.15% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)63.85% (0.052 0.05)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)15.54% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.52% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)44.47% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)30.81% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)67.08% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 53.37%
    Notts County 23.98%
    Draw 22.64%
Stockport CountyDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.91% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.3% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.15% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 53.37%
1-1 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.79% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 23.98%

How you voted: Stockport vs Notts County

Stockport County
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Notts County
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Stockport
3-0
Notts County
Madden (28', 71'), Crankshaw (48')
Sarcevic (53'), Madden (83')

Palmer (42'), Francis (52')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Notts County
2-1
Stockport
Wootton (54'), Vincent (68')
Rawlinson (18'), Wootton (63')
Whitfield (90+3' pen.)
Keane (20'), Hogan (50'), Quigley (60')
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Stockport
0-0
Notts County
Reid (61')
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Notts County
1-0
Stockport
Reeves (35')
Rawlinson (40')

Kitching (45+1'), Palmer (69'), Thomas (79')
Mar 24, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 49
Stockport
P-P
Notts County
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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