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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
40.18% ( -0.01) | 24.85% ( 0.01) | 34.97% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 58.07% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.85% ( -0.05) | 45.15% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.5% ( -0.05) | 67.49% ( 0.05) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.6% ( -0.03) | 22.4% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.09% ( -0.04) | 55.91% ( 0.04) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.84% ( -0.03) | 25.16% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.12% ( -0.04) | 59.88% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.31% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 3% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.18% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.84% | 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 34.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |