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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Harrogate Town |
41.52% ( 0.06) | 26.43% ( 0.02) | 32.05% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 51.97% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.31% ( -0.09) | 52.69% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.67% ( -0.08) | 74.33% ( 0.08) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.94% ( -0.01) | 25.06% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.26% ( -0.01) | 59.74% ( 0.01) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.35% ( -0.1) | 30.65% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.1% ( -0.12) | 66.9% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 41.52% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
3 | Notts County | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 27 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 25 |
6 | MK Dons | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 24 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 24 |
8 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Chesterfield | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 22 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 22 |
11 | BarrowBarrow | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 22 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
13 | Salford City | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
14 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 19 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 16 |
19 | Bromley | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 15 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 13 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Morecambe | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 10 |
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