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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Harrogate Town |
41.52% ( 0.06) | 26.43% ( 0.02) | 32.05% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 51.97% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.31% ( -0.09) | 52.69% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.67% ( -0.08) | 74.33% ( 0.08) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.94% ( -0.01) | 25.06% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.26% ( -0.01) | 59.74% ( 0.01) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.35% ( -0.1) | 30.65% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.1% ( -0.12) | 66.9% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 41.52% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
2 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 19 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 19 |
5 | Notts County | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
6 | Port Vale | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 18 |
7 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 15 |
11 | Chesterfield | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
13 | MK Dons | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 12 |
14 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
15 | Salford City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 12 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 11 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 11 |
19 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 7 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 6 |
24 | Morecambe | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 |
> League Two Full Table |