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Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Accrington
0 - 1
Crewe


Kelly (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Williams (85')
Lankester (70'), Knight-Lebel (76')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawCrewe Alexandra
29.03% (0.125 0.13) 23.87% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 47.1% (-0.134 -0.13)
Both teams to score 58.9% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.04% (0.017000000000003 0.02)42.96% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.64% (0.016999999999996 0.02)65.36% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (0.094999999999999 0.09)27.81% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (0.11799999999999 0.12)63.4% (-0.117 -0.12)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.58% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)18.42% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.42% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)49.59% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 29.03%
    Crewe Alexandra 47.1%
    Draw 23.87%
Accrington StanleyDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 7.1% (0.021 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.56% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.2% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.03% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.03%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.87%
1-2 @ 9.38% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.33% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.13% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 2.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 47.1%

Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Accrington
0-0
Crewe
Henderson (11'), Martin (57')
Nevitt (90+1')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Crewe
3-3
Accrington
Rowe (4'), Demetriou (29'), Nevitt (90+8')
Tracey (45'), Thomas (51'), Nevitt (90+9')
Offord (80')
Nolan (6'), Woods (87'), Woods (90+6')
Martin (71'), Hills (90+9')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Accrington
4-1
Crewe
Sykes (12', 60'), Leigh (51'), McConville (64')
Butcher (29'), Sykes (90+4')
Agyei (90+3')
Agyei (16'), Johnson (63'), Alebiousu (67')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Crewe
0-1
Accrington

Offord (55'), Murphy (56'), Ramsay (78'), Finney (87')
Offord (89')
Nottingham (17')
Sykes (38'), Pell (50'), Trafford (62'), Charles (68'), Mumbongo (90+7'), Bishop (90+7')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Crewe
2-0
Accrington
Beckles (32'), Porter (79')
Lowery (45+1')

Hughes (70')
Rodgers (50')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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